Wednesday, May 27, 2020

Volume and Price in the 3C Market

In this post we take a look at volume in the 3C.com market.  On average, 84 3-character .com domains sold each month since January, 2017, or 0.02% of the total supply of these domains.  Volume was much higher in 2017 (and in two months in mid-2018), but since then has been relatively stable.

Month     # of 4L.com Sales
May-20 47
Apr-20 40
Mar-20 60
Feb-20 51
Jan-20 48
Dec-19 20
Nov-19 28
Oct-19 25
Sep-19 24
Aug-19 35
Jul-19 44
Jun-19 35
May-19 54
Apr-19 42
Mar-19 45
Feb-19 49
Jan-19 47
Dec-18 
55
Nov-18 
36
Oct-18 
45
Sep-18 
343
Aug-18 
213
Jul-18 
41
Jun-18 
57
May-18 
42
Apr-18 
67
Mar-18 
81
Feb-18 
86
Jan-18 
94
Dec-17 
87
Nov-17 
45
Oct-17 
50
Sep-17 
156
Aug-17 
123
Jul-17 
109
Jun-17 
354
May-17
291
Apr-17 
119
Mar-17 
116
Feb-17 
79
Jan-17 
89

Volume and Price in the 4L Market

Following up on our post on 5N.com volume, we took a look at volume in the 4L.com market.  Here is the list of 4L domains sold each month in the past few years, according to Shortnames.  The average is 788 domains sold/month.  Volume and price has been relatively stable in this market compared to the 5N market, with floor price declining to (and staying) around $100 since the beginning of 2018.  Worth noting that sale volume was also higher in 2017 while the market was in the process of bottoming.  As a percentage of the total supply, only 0.17% of the 4L market turns over every month, as compared with 0.32% for 5N.com's. 

Month     # of 4L.com Sales
May-20 369
Apr-20 672
Mar-20 523
Feb-20 425
Jan-20 391
Dec-19 429
Nov-19 750
Oct-19 515
Sep-19 461
Aug-19 396
Jul-19 403
Jun-19 607
May-19 835
Apr-19 631
Mar-19 589
Feb-19 579
Jan-19 648
Dec-18 
591
Nov-18 
656
Oct-18 
588
Sep-18 
655
Aug-18 
521
Jul-18 
536
Jun-18 
910
May-18 
962
Apr-18 
992
Mar-18 
1,127
Feb-18 
734
Jan-18 
1,111
Dec-17 
1,597
Nov-17 
1,502
Oct-17 
1,191
Sep-17 
813
Aug-17 
634
Jul-17 
831
Jun-17 
1,489
May-17
1,185
Apr-17 
1,115
Mar-17 
1,352
Feb-17 
1,298
Jan-17 
704

Volume and Price in the 5N Market

Thought it would be interesting to look at the volume of 5N.com sales.  Here is the list of 5N domains sold each month in the past few years, according to Shortnames.  The average is 325 domains sold/month, and early this year it was running well behind the average.  In April sales picked up a bit, and May seems to be on track for a normal month as well.

Month     # of 5n.com Sales
May-20 283
Apr-20 310
Mar-20 172
Feb-20 171
Jan-20 125
Dec-19 128
Nov-19 286
Oct-19 357
Sep-19 441
Aug-19 523
Jul-19 537
Jun-19 616
May-19 343
Apr-19 435
Mar-19 374
Feb-19 247
Jan-19 299
Dec-18 
345
Nov-18 
287
Oct-18 
367
Sep-18 
354
Aug-18 
453
Jul-18 
336
Jun-18 
400
May-18 
411
Apr-18 
508
Mar-18 
410
Feb-18 
155
Jan-18 
321
Dec-17 
157
Nov-17 
323
Oct-17 
245
Sep-17 
192
Aug-17 
246
Jul-17 
295
Jun-17 
269
May-17
321
Apr-17 
351
Mar-17 
333
Feb-17 
278
Jan-17 
189

While volume picked back up last month, price has seemed to fall off.  Floor price according to Shortnames is now under $300, and looking on Ename, 5n's are being offered for sale at even lower buy-it-now prices (e.g., 36430 for 1,528 CNY, or $215 USD, and 14684 for 1,700 CNY, or $237 USD).

Thursday, April 9, 2020

Short Domain Update for Passover

Here at NNNNNDomains we like to keep track of short domain registrations, to try and figure out which type of domain is going to be the next to be bought out (and when the buyout might occur).  With the recent tumult in markets, domain registration has stalled a bit as well.  Also, given that today is Passover, it's a good time to take stock of domain past, present, and future.

The past:

4C Historical Registrations
06/18/2019 - 636,418 (average of 342 registered/day since prior check)
04/16/2019 - 614,877 (average of 91 registered/day since prior check)
12/04/2018 - 602,771 (average of 190 registered/day since prior check)
01/11/2018 - 540,794 (average of 153 registered/day since prior check)
05/01/2012 - 300,000 (average of 55 registered/day since prior check)
02/01/2008 - 215,000

5L Historical Registrations
8/9/2019: 3,156,254 registered
4/16/2018: 3,257,718 registered


6N Historical Registrations
8/9/2019: 796,854 registered
4/16/2018: 771,128 registered

The present:

There are currently 671,359 four character (4C) .com domains registered.
There are currently 3,240,940 five letter (5L) .com domains registered.
There are currently 788,333 six number (6N) .com domains registered.

The future:

Looking forward, 6N's (six number .com domains) are still the most likely to be bought out first, of the three categories noted above.  However, the total registered 6N's has fallen since the last time we checked in August of 2019.  So registrations would need to pick up, and with global markets in chaos, this might not happen for a while.  We are now targeting a buyout of the 6N's probably in 2024 or 2025.

The rate of daily registration for 4C.com domains has fallen to around 118 since the last time we checked (when it was 342).  At this rate, we may not see a buyout of the 4C's until 2032!

Finally, somewhere on this site there is a hidden picture of a broken matzah...  Find it, and you have found the afikoman.


Friday, September 13, 2019

Andrew Yang is Winning the Website Primary

Andrew Yang's debate surprise has apparently driven substantial traffic to his campaign website.




However, it looks like this traffic is not a new phenomenon.  Yang's website has been dominant among the Democratic campaign websites for some time.  Here are the Alexa worldwide traffic rankings for the top candidate sites, 90 days ago vs. today:

Yang2020 (.com) #22,715 -> #15,758
BernieSanders (.com) #25,754 -> #26,131
ElizabethWarren (.com) #40,779 -> #29,623
PeteForAmerica (.com) #33,185 -> #61,544
KamalaHarris (.org) #88,914 -> #69,548
JoeBiden (.com) #95,039 -> #77,889

Yang's campaign website is not only clearly leading the pack now, but it was also leading 90 days ago (before his recent surge).  Website traffic is probably a leading indicator for campaign strength.  Anyone surprised by Yang's recent surge in the polls might have seen this coming had they checked Alexa traffic rankings three months ago.

This is good news for Yang, and means more excitement, more fundraising, and more coverage in the months to come.  Driving traffic to a campaign website is only one part of a successful Presidential campaign, but it has become an increasingly important one.

Also, worth noting that Yang's site is the only top Democratic campaign site that includes numbers and letters.  It is also a relatively short domain at only 7 characters.

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

CCCC .com Registration Continues to Slow

As we noted recently, registration of 4 character .com domains (which has been on a tear for the whole year), finally has hit a rough patch.  Here are the updated numbers of registered 4 character .com domains:

8/27/19: 666,769
9/3/19: 664,324 (-2,445)
9/6/19: 661,110 (-3,214)
9/11/19: 656,408 (-4,702)

Registration has fallen by more than 10,000 in just a couple weeks.  This is still probably a blip, as registrations are still way up for the year.  But it does show some slowdown in this market.  Part of the reason for the decrease in registrations has certainly been the uptick in domains dropping.  It looks like the dropped domains have not been immediately scooped up, and registrations may take some time to recover.

Registrations for other types of short domains remain strong.  So this is likely due in large part to the abnormally high number of CCCC's dropping in recent weeks.  We will continue to monitor and report on registration rates.  


New Liquid Domains Industry Report

This is a big development for the short domain community.  Giuseppe Graziano from GGRG and LXME has been publishing a quarterly report on the short domain industry for some time.   I have read these quarterly reports with great interest, as I know many others have as well.

The quarterly reports have now undergone a significant makeover, and are now available on the web with crisp graphics and smooth navigation. 

Check them out here.

It is especially interesting to see development statistics, sales data, and comparisons with larger markets (like Bitcoin and gold) all in one place.  Great job Giuseppe!  I will continue to use your quarterly reports as a resource for understanding the short domain market.