Sunday, November 22, 2009

Numerics Rising in Top Global Sites

To give you a sense of how Chinese numeric sites are rising in the Alexa global site rankings, as Chinese internet penetration continues to grow rapidly.

51.la is ranked #322 in Alexa globally, #30 in China. Apparently only a year ago it was ranked around #10,000, so it's quite a jump.

Also, 58.com is ranked #450 globally, and #42 in China. Last time we reported on it, it was ranked #759 globally and #81 in China.

1133.cc is ranked #672 globally, and #68 in China. A year ago, this appears to have been ranked lower than #10,000.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Update on the NNNNN.com Landscape

It appears that a significant portion of NNNNN.com's bought almost 2 years ago in the buyout are still registered. Doing some random sampling today, I found that in a random sample of 2500 5-digit numbers, only 233 are available for registration. This suggests that 9,320 are available to be registered, with a margin of error of 1.94. This is about 1/2 of the NNNNN.com's that were available a few weeks before the buyout. I will try to find out more about who is holding or buying these domains and report back. In the meantime, here is the available domain list from the random sample so you can see how they are distributed. As would be expected, a significant portion of the available domains (16%) start with "0", as these are the generally the weakest. Only 2 domains that start with "1" were available in the sample.

01476.COM
01874.COM
02073.COM
02970.COM
03142.COM
03429.COM
03479.COM
03647.COM
03682.COM
03684.COM
03723.COM
04890.COM
05157.COM
05349.COM
05484.COM
06212.COM
06296.COM
06395.COM
06398.COM
06453.COM
06591.COM
06684.COM
06864.COM
07414.COM
07426.COM
07537.COM
07784.COM
08384.COM
08479.COM
08574.COM
08792.COM
09202.COM
09204.COM
09476.COM
09572.COM
09651.COM
09846.COM
09857.COM
14315.COM
16349.COM
20819.COM
20917.COM
22497.COM
24990.COM
27423.COM
27647.COM
28142.COM
28492.COM
28493.COM
30465.COM
30497.COM
30772.COM
30943.COM
30973.COM
31485.COM
31493.COM
31614.COM
35994.COM
36724.COM
37430.COM
37704.COM
38490.COM
39141.COM
39382.COM
39742.COM
40308.COM
40628.COM
40636.COM
40705.COM
40787.COM
41281.COM
41283.COM
41409.COM
41497.COM
41665.COM
41913.COM
42263.COM
42417.COM
42573.COM
42640.COM
42679.COM
42745.COM
42798.COM
42894.COM
42991.COM
43329.COM
43487.COM
43813.COM
44392.COM
44570.COM
46387.COM
46438.COM
46458.COM
46475.COM
46489.COM
47192.COM
47293.COM
47350.COM
47506.COM
48354.COM
48534.COM
48581.COM
48775.COM
49207.COM
49381.COM
49803.COM
49867.COM
49932.COM
49981.COM
50784.COM
50893.COM
50946.COM
51491.COM
51493.COM
51624.COM
53096.COM
53496.COM
54059.COM
54073.COM
54237.COM
54593.COM
54671.COM
55064.COM
55462.COM
55490.COM
56804.COM
57746.COM
58743.COM
58941.COM
58942.COM
59476.COM
59849.COM
59946.COM
60243.COM
60267.COM
60272.COM
60747.COM
60839.COM
60874.COM
60892.COM
61382.COM
62496.COM
63420.COM
63994.COM
64327.COM
64897.COM
64926.COM
64963.COM
64967.COM
65027.COM
65847.COM
65849.COM
65904.COM
66984.COM
67091.COM
67091.COM
67242.COM
68471.COM
68574.COM
69362.COM
69427.COM
69465.COM
70594.COM
70624.COM
70694.COM
70945.COM
70948.COM
70957.COM
73203.COM
73407.COM
74294.COM
74385.COM
74410.COM
74524.COM
74634.COM
74719.COM
76224.COM
76496.COM
77894.COM
79442.COM
79471.COM
82143.COM
82481.COM
83042.COM
83074.COM
83105.COM
83240.COM
83534.COM
84259.COM
84462.COM
84671.COM
84802.COM
84952.COM
84974.COM
85052.COM
85429.COM
85489.COM
85764.COM
85846.COM
86102.COM
86264.COM
87486.COM
90143.COM
90237.COM
90256.COM
90354.COM
90426.COM
90643.COM
90682.COM
90695.COM
90812.COM
93084.COM
93154.COM
93296.COM
93487.COM
93571.COM
93691.COM
93694.COM
93749.COM
93805.COM
93841.COM
94054.COM
94212.COM
94435.COM
94682.COM
94727.COM
94761.COM
94809.COM
94831.COM
94857.COM
94893.COM
97684.COM
97942.COM

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

More NNNNN.com Bidding on Snapnames

In my email from Snapnames today, I noticed the following NNNNN.com's that are receiving a lot of interest. Note the prices here are starting prices, not final prices. With all the interest final prices should end much higher.

Domain Price Bids
55000.com 79 22
56000.com 79 13
72000.com 79 9
77000.com 79 17
79000.com 79 9
88000.com 79 18
89000.com 79 9
91000.com 79 9
93000.com 79 9

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Several NNNNN.com's up on Snapnames

Got my daily email from Snapnames and noticed a lot of numerics today, and a lot of NNNNN.com's. Here's the list of domains up for auction today, the current price, and the number of bidders so far:

08000.com Price: 79 Bidders: 5
11300.com Price: 79 Bidders: 7
14000.com Price: 79 Bidders: 12
20000.com Price: 79 Bidders: 58
9669.com Price: 79 Bidders: 63

20000 is a really nice domain, as is 9669.

Friday, May 15, 2009

New Popular Numeric Site

I just checked Alexa.com's rankings for the top 100 site in China, and the old standards were there, but there was a new entry, 58.com. This site a year ago was only in the top 10,000 global sites, now it is in the top 1,000 (#759), and is in the top 100 in China (#81). So it has really shot up.

Now what this site offers, I have no idea... It looks like a directory of some sort, possibly an Ebay-time auction site? Who knows, it's all Chinese to me.

Random Snapshot of the NNNNN.com Landscape

Post-buyout, it is interesting to look at what the NNNNN.com landscape looks like. This is hopefully the first of many random samplings of the NNNNN.com's to see whether they are developed sites and what types of sites they are and who owns them. This is a very crude analysis, I just looked quickly to see whether it was an Chinese site, Marchex site, or parked, and if there was no site or parked, I made a brief survey of who the owner was (if there was any Asian-sounding name, I just marked it as Chinese, with no intent to offend anybody just to get a quick survey). Here is the results from looking at 102 randomly generated 5-digit numbers:

50 are Marchex zip code sites
12 have no sites but Chinese owners (it appears)
8 are parked sites with Chinese owners (it appears)
8 are parked sites with unknown owners (I couldn't find them using a quick whois lookup)
8 have been deleted and are available
7 are parked sites with US owners (it appears)
5 have developed Chinese sites (it appears)
2 have no sites but have US owners (it appears)
1 is a parked site with a Japanese owner
1 is pending delete

Although the sample has a significant margin of error, it seems to comport with previous random samples in terms of the number of Marchex sites, and it comports with the recent random samplings suggesting that about 10% of NNNNN.com's are available, whereas before the buyout in February, 2008, about 20% of NNNNN.com's are available. Of non-Marchex sites, 26 have Asian owners, 9 have US owners, and 8 have unknown owners. Not surprisingly, all the non-Marchex developed sites are Chinese.

Here is the list of sites from the random sample:
02293
Marchex
03085
Deleted
03161
Parked - US Owner
04073
Marchex
07983
Marchex
09909
No Site - Chinese Owner
10377
Parked - US Owner
11189
Parked - Chinese Owner
13104
Marchex
13853
Parked - Chinese Owner
14949
Parked - Unknown Owner
15377
Marchex
15479
Marchex
16054
Marchex
18241
Marchex
19397
Marchex
19421
Marchex
19486
Marchex
19710
Marchex
21771
Parked - US Owner
21934
Deleted
22699
No Site - Chinese Owner
23363
No Site - Chinese Owner
26474
Parked - Chinese Owner
26673
Parked - Chinese Owner
28490
Parked - Chinese Owner
29295
Parked - Unknown Owner
29379
Marchex
30929
Parked - Chinese Owner
31647
Marchex
31703
Marchex
32234
Marchex
33603
Parked - US Owner
33654
No Site - Chinese Owner
33718
No Site - US Owner
34005
Marchex
35871
No Site - Chinese Owner
36072
Marchex
36153
No Site - Chinese Owner
37631
No Site - Chinese Owner
37663
Marchex
40356
Marchex
41001
Marchex
42754
Marchex
44602
Parked - Unknown Owner
46460
No Site - Chinese Owner
46864
Marchex
47016
Marchex
47124
Marchex
48622
Marchex
49323
Parked - US Owner
50006
Marchex
51659
Parked - US Owner
52485
Deleted
53451
Deleted
54570
Deleted
54690
Parked - Unknown Owner
55251
Parked - Japanese Owner
56093
Marchex
56152
Marchex
56175
Marchex
56412
Chinese Site
56503
No Site - Chinese Owner
56691
Parked - Chinese Owner
57433
Marchex
58090
Parked - Chinese Owner
58140
Deleted
58310
Marchex
58781
Marchex
59826
Marchex
60082
Marchex
61104
Parked - US Owner
61415
Marchex
69310
Parked - Unknown Owner
69580
Chinese Site
70821
Chinese Site
71387
Parked - Unknown Owner
71474
Marchex
71706
No Site - Chinese Owner
72328
Marchex
72348
Marchex
72456
Marchex
72856
Marchex
73082
Marchex
73102
Marchex
76033
Marchex
76494
Deleted
76894
Deleted
79587
Parked - Unknown Owner
84649
Marchex
85904
No Site - US Owner
86507
Marchex
87837
No Site - Chinese Owner
88679
Pending Delete
88747
Chinese Site
91219
No Site - Chinese Owner
92311
Marchex
92664
Parked - Unknown Owner
95866
Marchex
96982
Chinese Site
98830
Marchex
99512
Marchex

Thursday, May 14, 2009

NNNNN.com Renewals Update

I have done some random sampling of available NNNNN.com's and it looks like my predictions that about 1/2 of NNNNN.com's bought in the buyout last year would be renewed was accurate. After looking at 5 samples of 500 random NNNNN.com's, the result was that 9.6% were unregistered. The margin of error in this sampling is 1.94.

Not surprisingly, NNNNN.com's that start with "0" had the highest percentage unregistered. I did 3 samples of 500 random NNNNN.com's starting with 0, and the result was that 16.5% were unregistered. The margin of error here is 2.33.

As of the end of January 2008, there were 19,346 NNNNN.com's unregistered. Now it appears there are only around 10,000. If anyone is looking for signs of long-term strength in the NNNNN.com market, I think this is a pretty good one. Despite a severe recession and the collapse of the buyout, many people still seem to understand the value in these domains. It is still to early to tell whether registrations of NNNNN.com's are going to continue to move in a positive direction, but this news should be somewhat encouraging to those who are holding for the long-term.

Friday, May 8, 2009

Thursday, March 19, 2009

80 MILLION .com domains!

As of today, there are 80,055,109 .com domains registered!

Source: domaintools

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Interesting Numeric Auction Results

On 2/10/09 the following auctions closed at Sedo
22.com $100,000
34000.com 170 EUR (USD $219)
46000.com 110 EUR (USD $142)
I was surprised that 22.com ended so low, that is an awesome domain and I have seen NNN.com's go for $XXX,XXX so it was surprising that nobody with more cash showed up, probably a result of the general economy. If I had $100k to throw around, I would love to have bought that domain. Also, the other sales were surprising for how high they went, both attracted multiple bids. I don't think I have seen NNNNN.com ending in 000 go for so much.

Thursday, February 5, 2009

Organic NNNNN.com's?

Apparently, PLU codes can be used to distinguished between organic and genetically modified products (i.e., according to Wikipedia, the code for organic yellow bananas is 94011). According to Vision Magazine:
Conventionally grown produce has a four-digit PLU that begins with three or four. Organically grown produce has a five-digit PLU that begins with nine. Genetically modified produce has a five-digit PLU that begins with eight.
Now, I haven't yet heard of an organic produce company advertising this with a five-digit numeric domain name, but it might be a great idea for one to do so!

Some Interesting Numeric Auctions

Sedo currently has some exciting numerics on auction. 22.com has 5 days left and is currently at $72,000. Also, 34000.com and 46000.com are both up to 70 EUR with 5 days left as well. These auctions will be interesting to watch to see how premium NN.com and NNNNN.com's are faring in a bad domain market. 11.com sold for $188,889 last year in a private sale, but 22.com could surpass that on auction, and perhaps in a significant way. We'll be watching!

Saturday, January 31, 2009

79 MILLION .com Domains!

According to Domain Tools, today we passed another benchmark in domain history. Over 79 million .com domains are registered, 79,000,932 to be exact. Shows that even in an economic downturn the number of available .com's to register keeps shrinking. And when you think that out of those 79 million, only 1k are NNN.com's, 10k are NNNN.com's, and 100k are NNNNN.com's, you see how truly scarce numeric domains are compared to the total number of domains that are already registered. Next stop, 80 million!

Thursday, January 15, 2009

NNNNN.com Buyout A Year Later

We are nearing 1 year from the buyout of NNNNN.com's. As with nearly the entire domain market, things have not gone as well as many hoped. What I have done, and I think many others will do as well, is trim our portfolios and renewed the better domains. Numbers that start with 1 or other low numbers, have good number sequences, get decent traffic, represent words on cell phones, etc., are more likely to get renewed. There were about 20k NNNNN.com's available a year ago this time. I guess anywhere from 5k-15k will get dropped, probably somewhere in the middle. This is probably healthy for the NNNNN.com market in the long run, more time for people to develop their domains, wait for demand to catch up to supply, etc. The underlying dynamics that suggest strength in this market are still there, we are just in a massively bad economy for domains included, and it will take more time for Chinese internet penetration to expand (although this is happening very rapidly).

Some criteria for keeping domains I have used (not a complete list):

* Is the .org/net/info/cn/etc. owned/developed?
* Are people searching for the number or are advertisers advertising based on the number (check google adwords keyword tools for both)
* Check if the number is a US zip code, a big city foreign postal code, etc.
* Type the number into google products search and see what comes up, you may be surprised.

Also, to look on the bright side, you can see from the following SnapNames auctions that NNNNN.com's are still attracting lots of interest if they are good numbers. The numbers below are not from completed auctions, but from the e-mails SnapNames sends out telling people to join existing auctions, so final sales prices are probably much higher. Anyways, here's hoping for a better year for NNNNN.com's in 2009!

1/13/09 90049.com Price 79 Bids 8
1/5/09 88336.com Price 13 Bids 4
1/5/09 99949.com Price 25 Bids 3
1/4/09 16969.com Price 20 Bids 3
12/24/08 29299.com Price 13 Bids 3
12/8/08 99881.com Price 26 Bids 5
11/13/08 53666.com Price 12 Bids 3
11/5/08 31333.com Price 12 Bids 3
10/7/08 33559.com Price 12 Bids 3
9/18/08 69000.com Price 79 Bids 4
9/17/08 55552.com Price 59 Bids 3
9/17/08 90034.com Price 104 Bids 4
7/13/08 98116.com Price 60 Bids 6
7/13/08 98118.com Price 60 Bids 6
7/10/08 11800.com Price 79 Bids 10
7/9/08 95032.com Price 79 Bids 9
7/1/08 02200.com Price 21 Bids 5