Thursday, July 5, 2018

6N Domain Registration Continues - Buyout 2021?

The last time we looked at 6n .com's, approximately 68% were registered, or around 680,000 out of 1 million.  That was in January.

Six months later, it looks like registration trends for 6n's remain strong.  It seems there are now about 73% registered, using random sampling.  Using 15 bulk domain searches of 500 random 6n's, here are the percentage registered in each random search:

72.60%
72.00%
71.40%
76.20%
72.20%
71.80%
73.20%
69.60%
70.00%
72.80%
74.00%
75.00%
73.40%
72.80%
74.80%

The total average from all searches was 72.79%, which corresponds to around 730,000 registered 6n domains.

Random searches are fairly accurate at this level, so it seems to be a reasonable assumption that there were approximately 50,000 6n's registered since January.  If this pace doesn't change, 6n's should be completely bought out in around 3 years.

Of course, a lot can change, and sometimes the last numbers are the most difficult to get registrations that stick, as they are usually the worst numbers.  On the other hand, as the percentage of available 6n domains sinks to 20% or even 10%, sometimes speculators see a target for a buyout and quickly buy up the remaining domains.