Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Exit Polls Released (still no actual numbers)

Ok, the first batch of early exit polls are coming out now. Of course, exit polling is highly unreliable, as we found out in 2004 and in many of the Democratic primaries earlier this year. Last election I remember Kerry contracts on Intrade going wild at this time once the exit polls came out showing that he would win, only to crash later in the night as the real results came in. Therefore, don't put too much stock in these numbers. Nevertheless, here's what is coming out:

From Fox News (only 12% of polled voters will be excited if McCain wins, 32% will be excited if Obama wins).

27% of voters say they were contacted by Obama camp. 19% of voters say they were contacted by McCain camp. 32% will be excited if Obama wins. 12% will be excited if McCain wins. 23% will be scared of Obama wins. 30% will be scared if McCain wins. 51% say government should do more to solve problems. 43% say government is doing to much. 70% worry about another terrorist attack. 67% worry about being able to afford healthcare. 32% not worried about affording healthcare. 28% of voters oppose offshore drilling. 68% in favor offshore drilling. 75% said Supreme court nominations factored intlo their opinion 70% predict their taxes will go up under Obama. 61% predict their taxes will go up under McCain. 49% predict their taxes will go up no matter who wins. 67% think Biden is qualified to be President. 38% think Palin is qualified to be President. 61% say Michelle Obama would make a good first lady.